- Despite the recent rise of US rates, we remain positive EM USD bonds in the long term.
- That said, for European investors, EM EUR bonds are more attractive. We screened 375 USD/EUR bond pairs across the EM sovereign universe and we found that EM EUR bonds are currently offering one of the largest pickup over EM USD bonds since January 2020.
- In the IG space, we see value to switch from Romania USD bonds into Romania EUR bonds. Likewise, Kazakhstan, Mexico, and Chile EUR bonds are offering a significant pickup over USD bonds. On the other hand, Saudi Arabia USD bonds are more attractive.
- In the HY space, valuations are more dispersed and erratic, but we see value to switch into Egypt and Ukraine USD bonds from EUR bonds.
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EM EUR bonds offering an attractive pickup
17. Februar 2021